A longitudinal study of the relationship between serial changes in BODE index, mortality and readmissions in patients with COPD
F. W. S. Ko, J. Ngai, A. Tung, S. S. Ng, K. Lai, D. Hui (Hong Kong, Hong Kong)
Source: Annual Congress 2009 - Prognosis and comorbidities in COPD
Session: Prognosis and comorbidities in COPD
Session type: E-Communication Session
Number: 502
Disease area: Airway diseases
Abstract Introduction: This study assessed the relationship between serial changes in BODE index (a multidimensional grading index including Body mass index, Obstruction of the airway [FEV1 ], Dyspnoea score [modified Medical Research Council {mMRC} questionnaire and Exercise capacity [6 min walk test]) and mortality and readmissions of COPD patients.Method: A prospective cohort study involving 307 (256 males) COPD patients (recruited during their admissions for acute exacerbations COPD [AECOPD]). Assessment of the BODE index was performed at 6 weeks(baseline), 6 months, 12 months, 18 months and 24 months post hospital discharge. Mortality and readmissions in the subsequent 3 years were recorded. All the patients were managed by usual care with no specific intervention.Results: The mean(SD) age, FEV1 % predicted were 75.2(8.0)yrs, and 49.3(21.8) respectively. Over the 3 years, 31.6% died whereas 77.2% had at least 1 readmission for AECOPD. Baseline BODE index was predictive of both the survival and readmissions to hospital for AECOPD by Cox regression analysis (p<0.001 for both survival and readmissions). Patients with higher BODE scores were at higher risk for death; the hazard ratio for death from any cause per one-point increase in the BODE score was 1.30 (95% CI, 1.21-1.41; P<0.001). With usual care, 74(24.1%), 116(37.8%), 17 (5.5%) patients had increase (>1point), no change, and decrease in BODE (>1point) index over 24 months respectively. Serial changes in BODE index were not associated with both mortality and readmissions.Conclusion: Baseline BODE index could predict both survival and readmissions for AECOPD, whereas serial BODE index could not.
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F. W. S. Ko, J. Ngai, A. Tung, S. S. Ng, K. Lai, D. Hui (Hong Kong, Hong Kong). A longitudinal study of the relationship between serial changes in BODE index, mortality and readmissions in patients with COPD. Eur Respir J 2009; 34: Suppl. 53, 502
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