Prognostic factors for short and long term outcomes of outpatient exacerbations in moderate-to-severe COPD

R. Wilson, A. Anzueto, M. Miravitlles, P. Arvis, D. Haverstock, M. Trajanovic, S. Sethi (London, United Kingdom; Montville, United States Of America; Barcelona, Spain; Loos, France; Toronto, Canada)

Source: Annual Congress 2012 - Prognostic indices in respiratory infections
Session: Prognostic indices in respiratory infections
Session type: Thematic Poster Session
Number: 2523
Disease area: Airway diseases, Respiratory infections

Congress or journal article abstractE-poster

Abstract

Introduction
Older patients with severe COPD, frequent exacerbations and comorbidities are at higher risk of poor outcomes. Additional risk factors for short and long term outcomes are yet to be fully identified.
Methods
In the MAESTRAL study, COPD patients1 were treated with 5-day moxifloxacin or 7-day amoxicillin/clavulanic acid for an Anthonisen type 1 exacerbation2, stratified to oral corticosteroid treatment at the physician‘s discretion. Predictive factors for clinical failure at end-of-therapy (EOT) and 8 weeks post-EOT were compared by post-hoc multivariate stepwise logistic regression analysis.
Results
Patients with frequent exacerbations, purulent sputum, higher respiration rate, low body temperature and bacterial resistance to study drug had a higher risk to fail at EOT. While patients who, in addition to frequent exacerbations and low body temperature, required systemic corticosteroids for their current exacerbation, were on LABA, suffered from sleep disturbances, had longer duration of chronic bronchitis, increased heart rate, low FEV1, low BMI and positive sputum culture at EOT were more likely to fail up to 8 weeks post-therapy.
Conclusion
Several new risk factors have been identified that may help identify exacerbation patients who are at risk of failure despite adequate antibiotics. These patients should be closely monitored during and after treatment of their exacerbation.



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R. Wilson, A. Anzueto, M. Miravitlles, P. Arvis, D. Haverstock, M. Trajanovic, S. Sethi (London, United Kingdom; Montville, United States Of America; Barcelona, Spain; Loos, France; Toronto, Canada). Prognostic factors for short and long term outcomes of outpatient exacerbations in moderate-to-severe COPD. Eur Respir J 2012; 40: Suppl. 56, 2523

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