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Vienna 2012
Monday, 03.09.2012
Prognostic indices in respiratory infections
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Copeptin predicts early clinical deterioration and persistent instability in community-acquired pneumonia
M. Kolditz, M. Halank, B. Schulte-Hubbert, S. Bergmann, S. Albrecht, G. Höffken (Dresden, Germany)
Source:
Annual Congress 2012 - Prognostic indices in respiratory infections
Session:
Prognostic indices in respiratory infections
Session type:
Thematic Poster Session
Number:
2518
Disease area:
Respiratory infections
Abstract
Optimal risk prediction of early clinical deterioration in CAP remains unresolved. We prospectively examined the predictive value of the new biomarkers copeptin and proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) in comparison to clinical scores and inflammatory markers to predict early high risk prognosis in CAP.
Methods:
51 consecutive hospitalised adult patients were enrolled. We measured CRB-65- and PSI-scores, the ATS/IDSA 2007 minor criteria to predict ICU-admission and the biomarkers CRP, procalcitonin, copeptin and MR-proADM on admission. Predefined outcome parameters were combined mortality or ICU-admission after 7 days and clinical instability after 72 hours.
Results:
Copeptin was the only biomarker significantly elevated in patients with either adverse short term outcome (p=0.003). In ROC-curve analysis copeptin predicted ICU admission or death within 7 days (AUC 0.81, cut-off 35 pmol/l: sensitivity 78%, specificity 79%) and persistent clinical instability after 72 h (AUC 0.74). In Kaplan-Meier-analysis patients with high copeptin showed lower ICU-free survival within 7 days (p=0.001). The diagnostic accuracy of copeptin was superior to the CRB-65 score and comparable to the PSI-score and the ATS/IDSA minor criteria. If copeptin was included as additional minor criterion for combined 7-day mortality / ICU-admission, the diagnostic accuracy of the criteria was significantly improved (AUC 0.85, p=0.045).
Conclusion:
Copeptin predicts early deterioration and persistent clinical instability in hospitalised CAP and improves the predictive properties of existing clinical scores. It should be evaluated within a biomarker guided strategy for early identification of high risk CAP patients.
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Citations should be made in the following way:
M. Kolditz, M. Halank, B. Schulte-Hubbert, S. Bergmann, S. Albrecht, G. Höffken (Dresden, Germany). Copeptin predicts early clinical deterioration and persistent instability in community-acquired pneumonia. Eur Respir J 2012; 40: Suppl. 56, 2518
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